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Start Date: Sep 2005 Projected |
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POC: |
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Problem Addressed: | A global grain forecasting model has been built which forecasts production and consumption of grains by region and satisfies the 'excess' demand in one region by moving 'excess' supply from another region by the least cost route. Calibrating this model to historical data revealed a need to place constraints on certain low cost corridors. Of particular interest was the capacity of the system to accommodate grain flows by rail to the Mississippi river at St. Louis. Synthetic constraints were used to force the model to yield historical results. However, in order to forecast future flows, some understanding of the systems capacity and likely future capacity is needed. |
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Objective: |
Identify the current capacity of the land transportation system to deliver grains to the Mississippi river just below St. Louis (below L&D 27). Identify the key components that govern this capacity, examine the likely future of those components to forecast the future capacity of this part of the system. |
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Benefits: | In order to forecast future flows, intermediate forecast 10-20 years for the short term and ultimate forecast to the year 2060, some understanding of the systems capacity and likely future capacity is needed. This information this vital in defining a framework and the parameters for developing a forecasting model for port handling capacity . |
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Status: |
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Completed
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Contract Data: 130465, E5040 |
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Progress: |
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Products (Bookshelf/Toolbox): Report by The Louis Berger Group, Inc., Nov 1, 2005
(661 KB, pdf)
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Related Links: |
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Revised 04 Aug 2009 Source: Navigation Economic Technologies Program ©2008 |
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